01 · The shift
Agent creation is becoming a commodity.
The tools to build an agent keep getting better and cheaper, from no-code builders to fully custom stacks. Standing one up that demos well is becoming routine. A capability that common competes on price, on ecosystem lock-in, and on who you know. That is the floor, and it is not the ground the teams we work with want to fight on. The agent that earns trust in the hard moments is a different thing, and it is still scarce.
The constraint has moved with it. A conversational product now rarely fails because of the model. It fails for lack of proof. Gartner predicted nearly a third of generative AI projects would be abandoned after proof of concept, with weak risk controls and unclear value among the reasons, and that is what a stalled pilot looks like from the inside. The demo impressed, but no one could verify the behavior behind it. Each release widens that gap, because it resets everyone's demo and no one's evidence. Waiting for a better model buys a better demo, not proof.